KalshiPoliticsOpenUpdated Apr 9, 2026

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

10 markets · 1y

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Markets in this event

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 8 to 10%

Yes25¢

No75¢

Yes ≈ 25% chance

$51.5K Vol1y

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 6 to 8%

Yes22¢

No78¢

Yes ≈ 22% chance

$25.6K Vol1y

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 16% and above

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

$24.8K Vol1y

Kalshi

Open

Republicans win

Yes12¢

No88¢

Yes ≈ 12% chance

$350K Vol1y

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 4 to 6%

Yes15¢

No85¢

Yes ≈ 15% chance

$17.9K Vol1y

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 2 to 4%

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$49.4K Vol1y

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 14 to 16%

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

$20.1K Vol1y

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 12 to 14%

Yes7¢

No93¢

Yes ≈ 7% chance

$37.1K Vol1y

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 10 to 12%

Yes18¢

No82¢

Yes ≈ 18% chance

$52.7K Vol1y

Kalshi

Open

Democrats, 0 to 2%

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

$47.1K Vol1y

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Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

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