KalshiPoliticsOpenUpdated Jul 14, 2026
How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get in 2026?
9 markets · 5mo
✨ Ask about this eventMarkets in this event
Kalshi
Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 120 after July 6, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027? — Above 120
Yes2¢
No98¢
Yes ≈ 2% chance
$6 Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 110 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027? — Above 110
Yes2¢
No98¢
Yes ≈ 2% chance
$10 Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 90 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027? — Above 90
Yes4¢
No96¢
Yes ≈ 4% chance
$15.6K Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 80 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027? — Above 80
Yes6¢
No94¢
Yes ≈ 6% chance
$9K Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 70 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027? — Above 70
Yes16¢
No84¢
Yes ≈ 16% chance
$7.2K Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027? — Above 60
Yes33¢
No67¢
Yes ≈ 33% chance
$9.9K Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 50 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027? — Above 50
Yes43¢
No57¢
Yes ≈ 43% chance
$4.5K Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 40 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027? — Above 40
Yes63¢
No37¢
Yes ≈ 63% chance
$3.9K Vol 0pts5mo
Kalshi
Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 100 after July 6, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027? — Above 100
Yes2¢
No98¢
Yes ≈ 2% chance
$11K Vol 0pts5mo
Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.
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