KalshiPoliticsOpenUpdated Jul 8, 2026

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

11 markets · 1y

✨ Ask about this event

Markets in this event

Kalshi

Open

Romeu Zema wins

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Kalshi

Open

Renan Santos wins

Yes3¢

No97¢

Yes ≈ 3% chance

Kalshi

Open

Lula da Silva, 5-10%

Yes34¢

No66¢

Yes ≈ 34% chance

$1.6K Vol1y

Kalshi

Open

Lula da Silva, ≥15%

Yes6¢

No94¢

Yes ≈ 6% chance

$1.2K Vol1y

Kalshi

Open

Lula da Silva, 0-5%

Yes19¢

No81¢

Yes ≈ 19% chance

$2K Vol1y

Kalshi

Open

Lula da Silva, 10-15%

Yes29¢

No71¢

Yes ≈ 29% chance

$3K Vol1y

Kalshi

Open

Fernando Haddad wins

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

Kalshi

Open

Flávio Bolsonaro, 5-10%

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$1 Vol1y

Kalshi

Open

Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥15%

Yes1¢

No99¢

Yes ≈ 1% chance

Kalshi

Open

Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-5%

Yes10¢

No90¢

Yes ≈ 10% chance

$369 Vol1y

Kalshi

Open

Flávio Bolsonaro, 10-15%

Yes2¢

No98¢

Yes ≈ 2% chance

View on Kalshi ↗

Data from Kalshi’s public API, for informational purposes only. PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.

Discussion

optional stance

Loading…