The same question trades on 2 venues. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.
Across two prediction markets, traders give this about a 4% chance, with no meaningful disagreement between the venues.
Informational only · play-money venues count less in the blend. Tap a venue to compare.
How each venue’s Yes has moved
Tap a venue to show/hide its line
Consensus is a liquidity-weighted blend of each venue’s Yes probability (play-money venues count less). Informational only — PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.