The same question trades on 2 venues — prices range 40%–58%. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.
The prediction markets collectively imply about a 49% chance that Gemini 3.5 Pro will achieve a specific debut arena score, though the two venues disagree by 18 percentage points, likely due to different trader audiences or liquidity levels.
Informational only · play-money venues count less in the blend. Tap a venue to compare.
How each venue’s Yes has moved
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Consensus is a liquidity-weighted blend of each venue’s Yes probability (play-money venues count less). Informational only — PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.