The same question trades on 2 venues — prices range 50%–97%. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.
The prediction markets collectively imply a 69% chance that MrBeast will reach 510 million subscribers by July 31, but the venues disagree sharply (50% vs. 97%), likely due to different audience bases or liquidity levels.
Informational only · play-money venues count less in the blend. Tap a venue to compare.
How each venue’s Yes has moved
Consensus is a liquidity-weighted blend of each venue’s Yes probability (play-money venues count less). Informational only — PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.