The same question trades on 2 venues — prices range 24%–33%. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.
Trading collectively suggests about a 29% chance she will perform, though the two markets disagree by 9 percentage points
Informational only · play-money venues count less in the blend. Tap a venue to compare.
How each venue’s Yes has moved
Consensus is a liquidity-weighted blend of each venue’s Yes probability (play-money venues count less). Informational only — PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.