The same question trades on 2 venues. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.
Across prediction markets, the collective odds suggest this meeting is very unlikely, with a blended chance of about 1%. The small disagreement between venues likely reflects different user bases, as Manifold uses play-money and Kalshi uses real money.
Informational only · play-money venues count less in the blend. Tap a venue to compare.
How each venue’s Yes has moved
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Consensus is a liquidity-weighted blend of each venue’s Yes probability (play-money venues count less). Informational only — PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.