The same question trades on 2 venues — prices range 37%–61%. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.
The two prediction markets together give a roughly 46% chance of 4–6 hurricanes, but they disagree notably—Polymarket puts it at 37% while K
Informational only · play-money venues count less in the blend. Tap a venue to compare.
How each venue’s Yes has moved
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Consensus is a liquidity-weighted blend of each venue’s Yes probability (play-money venues count less). Informational only — PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.