The same question trades on 2 venues — prices range 1%–12%. This blend is weighted by each venue’s market depth.
The prediction markets collectively imply about a 12% chance that Kristi Noem will be impeached in 2026, though the play-money market on Manifold shows much lower odds (1%), likely due to different user incentives or lower liquidity.
Informational only · play-money venues count less in the blend. Tap a venue to compare.
How each venue’s Yes has moved
Consensus is a liquidity-weighted blend of each venue’s Yes probability (play-money venues count less). Informational only — PredictPal is not affiliated with any platform and does not facilitate trading.